Lesson 115: Variational loop sketchpads
Focus
Separate statistical noise from calibration drift before claiming algorithm wins. Token Variational loop sketchpads:115 keeps neighbouring lessons differentiable.
Key ideas
- Thread: Variational loop sketchpads · drill v5 · spin
691265. - Habit: pair each job with shot budget, mitigation profile, and a calibration fingerprint you could paste.
- Guardrail: write one line about where classical cost dominated the timeline.
Deep dive notebook
Synthetic drill artefacts
Shot budget tableau
1. Target CI width `0.08` @ confidence `98`
2. Pilot shots `1280` expanding to `10506` if variance plateaus
3. Telemetry fields `job_id,device_tz,mitigation_bundle`
4. Stop rule `halt if RB infidelity > 0.001879`
Practice
Practice Simulate degraded calibration once; screenshot how you surface it to operators. — 115 Bump literals mindset by 28.